Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 26.652439 30.773162 35.232870 40.407156 46.233873 52.580688 60.005304
2025-01-05 20.622505 26.567082 33.615851 42.534281 53.455975 66.329787 82.581787
2025-01-12 15.740600 22.185671 30.414438 41.565460 56.138010 74.375379 98.741721
2025-01-19 12.130477 18.503951 27.181340 39.649368 56.854840 79.476816 111.125997
2025-01-26 10.882266 17.703243 27.483308 42.204000 63.401675 92.354590 134.309201
2025-02-02 10.234955 17.607289 28.659718 45.965918 71.794389 108.207054 162.520228
2025-02-09 8.974768 16.339666 27.887152 46.692836 75.764255 118.032357 182.866594
2025-02-16 7.777987 14.964727 26.731681 46.627598 78.424744 126.010937 200.923706
2025-02-23 6.709196 13.624609 25.433162 46.131479 80.273071 132.777046 217.463872
2025-03-02 5.850951 12.515044 24.359794 45.839558 82.332982 139.888137 234.823417
2025-03-09 5.118120 11.517528 23.342632 45.498423 84.214294 146.747577 252.083553
2025-03-16 4.196888 9.995939 21.183656 42.910080 82.055308 146.929999 258.699785
2025-03-23 3.843328 9.615568 21.172084 44.310172 87.089590 159.532143 286.703909
2025-03-30 3.603411 9.449978 21.574697 46.557922 93.876609 175.625048 321.639998
2025-04-06 3.065897 8.518600 20.321478 45.498561 94.579783 181.411421 339.709841
2025-04-13 2.526220 7.467473 18.660891 43.422416 93.164280 183.350128 351.250929
2025-04-20 2.437348 7.509881 19.353116 46.187079 101.159389 202.428090 393.534955
2025-04-27 2.442716 7.796011 20.617252 50.255787 111.973288 227.178783 447.034344
2025-05-04 2.222128 7.436813 20.359771 51.041601 116.326684 240.327914 480.469442
2025-05-11 1.975740 6.954424 19.744685 50.971077 118.922212 250.324440 508.669776
2025-05-18 1.735270 6.435440 18.964552 50.434757 120.486328 258.414846 533.717016
2025-05-25 1.535753 5.994608 18.314833 50.119155 122.466621 267.380591 560.793069
2025-06-01 1.358178 5.581266 17.674901 49.750321 124.284241 276.099120 587.788676